Since it's been a sad (ok...really depressing) few day in Red Sox Nation I couldn't think of a better time to introduce you all to, the one and only, Dr. J.
Dr. J (Josh) will be a semi-regular contributor to SawxBlog and I think we'll all agree that the light he sheds on the game makes for a brighter nation, enjoy!
The Walk-Off Beer
OK, You've had a long day at work and get home to have a few tasty Bud Lights and watch the game. “No baby I’m not drinking tonight, just having a beer or two” while doing my favorite non athletic pastime, watching the Sox.
Does this sound like the start of your after work day? Now let’s fast forward 3 hours later. You were good. You watched the Red Sox, made dinner with your lovely fiancée, had a beer or two. Maybe even a glass of wine. Only you know are trashed and euphoric after watching another amazing come from behind Red Sox win.
How does this happen? It’s called “The Walk-Off Beer”. You have 2 beers through innings 1-8 then 5-6 in those amazing 15 minutes. Let’s apply some statistical analysis to this phenomenon and see how it works.
In order to do so we must calculate the games OBP.
This is a very simple formula:
RD + BLtO = OBP
RD = runs down
BLtO = batters left till Ortiz
OBP = On Beer percentage
Let’s look at Ortiz’s last walk off win.
RD = 2 (8-6 score to start bottom of the ninth)
BLtO = 4
2 + 4 = 6
6 beers is your OBP.
That means the odds are you will consume 6 beers in the 9th inning alone. (please note this total has an accuracy of plus or minus 1)
Go ahead, do the math at home during the next late inning Sox drama.
Next week we will discuss our confidence in Julian Taverez using this simple formula:
NW + HS - F
nw = no why?
HS = he sucks
F = F%$^
slight problem in the formula...
when Tavarez comes in I go straight to the hard liquor.
Posted by: Kevin in Allston | August 10, 2006 at 04:17 PM
Ha! No doubt on that.
Posted by: Derek Hixon | August 10, 2006 at 06:07 PM
Kev, you took the words right out of my computer. Nicely done Josh, as the laughter slowly dies down.
Posted by: Peter N | August 11, 2006 at 11:08 AM